Probability of dying between age 30 and age 70 from any of the four major NCDs (SDG target 3.4.1)

In the Region the probability of dying between age 30 and age 70 from any of the four major NCDs (SDG target 3.4.1) in 2016 was 16.2% showing a decrease from 20% in 2000.

Dec 2019

Probability of dying between age 30 and age 70 from any of the four major NCDs (SDG target 3.4.1)

In the Region the probability of dying between age 30 and age 70 from any of the four major NCDs (SDG target 3.4.1) in 2016 was 16.2% showing a decrease from 20% in 2000 and for:

  • women it was 13.1% – down from 16.3% in 2000
  • men it was 19.3% – down from 23.5% in 2000.

This is consistent with trends for this indicator in other Regions where the risk of death from NCDs is decreasing and there are higher rates among men than women.  Figure 9 shows this indicator for women and men for selected countries in the Region, illustrating important differences among men and women across the Region and between men and women in countries (69). For example, the probability of dying from NCDs is highest for men in Mongolia (38.8%) and highest for women in Papua New Guinea (26.6%). Within countries, there can be quite a significant difference between men and women (69).. For example, men in Mongolia have a 16.9% greater probability of dying from one of the four NCDs compared to women. Men in Kiribati have the third highest probability of premature death among men in the Region, however the gap between men and women dying prematurely from NCDs is bigger in Mongolia, Fiji, Tonga, Viet Nam and the Philippines(69).

While NCDs are a major cause of mortality and burden of disease for both women and men in the Region, there are important differences related to gender that intersect with other social determinants of health to create inequities (112). For example, how tobacco smoking combines with other environmental exposures to magnify the risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) for men (37) (see Section 4).

Probability (%) of dying between age 30 and exact age 70 from any of the four major NCDs, males and females, selected countries, 2016 (SDG target 3.4.1) (69).

References

  1. Pruss-Oston A et al. Preventing disease through healthy environments: a global assessment of the burden of disease from environmental risks. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2016.
  1. World Health Organization. Adult mortality. Data by WHO Region. Global Health Observatory data repository [online database] [web site]., 2019 (http://apps.who.int/gho/data/view.main.1340?lang=en, accessed 17 July 2019).
  1. Why using a gender approach can accelerate Noncommunicable disease prevention and control in the WHO European Region. Copenhagen, WHO Regional Office for Europe, 2019.
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